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Stock futures dip slightly after Dow turns negative for 2023: Live updates


7 Hours Ago

Yen strengthens after touching weakest levels in a year

The Japanese yen strengthened against the greenback after briefly touching 150 overnight.

In response to reporter questions, Japan’s Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said he will not comment on whether or not there was any intervention to prop up the yen. He added that Japan will take steps against any dramatic moves in the currency “without ruling out any options.”

See Chart…

Yen strengthens after touching 150-levels

The yen is currently trading at 149.18 against the U.S. dollar.

The last time Tokyo intervened to buy yen was in September and November 2022 when the currency sank to a 32-year low.

— Lee Ying Shan

8 Hours Ago

Jeffrey Gundlach says the bond market is sending recession warning

DoubleLine Capital CEO Jeffrey Gundlach directed investors to a phenomenon in the bond market, which he believes marks a recession warning.

The spread between the 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields tightened to 35 basis points, compared to a gap of 108 basis points a few months ago, Gundlach pointed out. This “de-inverting” of the key part of the yield curve could be a tell-tale sign that an economic downturn is imminent.

“Should put everyone on recession warning, not just recession watch,” Gundlach said in a post on X, formerly known as Twitter. “If the unemployment rate ticks up just a couple of tenths it will be recession alert. Buckle up.”

The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yield curve initially inverted in March 2022, a phenomenon that has historically been a reliable recession predictor. It typically takes nearly two years for a recession to occur.

— Yun Li

9 Hours Ago

Bill Gross says the surging 10-year Treasury yield could test 5%

10 Hours Ago

Stocks and bonds sold off Tuesday, and the 60/40 portfolio took a hit

Both bonds and equities sold off on Tuesday, and the 60/40 portfolio felt the pain keenly.

The iShares Core Growth Allocation ETF (AOR), which reflects a portfolio allocation of 60% in equities and 40% in fixed income, dropped 1.14% on Tuesday.

The portfolio suffered a total return of -15.6% in 2022 as both stocks and bonds declined sharply.

See Chart…

AOR year to date

A difficult day in the market – or a rough year like 2022 – doesn’t necessarily negate the long-term prospects of the 60/40 model.

Rather than provide blockbuster returns, the portfolio is intended to give investors diversification and smooth the price volatility you would otherwise see in stocks. However, during a day in which both equities and fixed income suffer, the 60/40 portfolio will also take a tumble.  

Darla Mercado

10 Hours Ago

Cal-Maine drops nearly 12% following weaker-than-expected financial report

Cal-Maine Foods fell nearly 12% in extended trading after posting an earnings report that underwhelmed analysts.

The egg distributor said it earned 2 cents per share in the fiscal first quarter, well below the consensus estimate of 33 cents per share from analysts polled by FactSet. Cal-Maine also missed Wall Street’s expectations for revenue in the quarter, posting $459.3 million while the average analyst had forecasted $479.5 million.

Management cited “dynamic” market conditions, noting egg prices have normalized as supply has started to recover.

— Alex Harring

10 Hours Ago

Dow Transports closes below its 200-day moving average, a first since June

The Dow Jones Transportation Average ended the day below the 200-day moving average on Tuesday, a move that may portend a downtrend from here.

It was the first time the Dow Transports closed below that threshold since June 1. The 20-stock Dow Transports fell 0.78% as stocks sold off broadly and bond yields surged on Tuesday.

In all, 13 of the stocks comprising the index are below their 200-day moving average, including Union Pacific, CSX, Norfolk Southern and Southwest Airlines.

The 200-day moving average is an important indicator for market technicians, as it details long-term trends for a given asset or index. In this case, a close below the 200-day could suggest further declines ahead.

Darla Mercado, Gina Francolla

10 Hours Ago

Chance of a quarter-point hike at next Fed meeting rose to 31% from 16% a week ago

The chance of a quarter-point increase to 5.50%-5.75%in the Fed’s benchmark overnight lending rate at the central bank’s next policy meeting on Nov. 1 rose to 30.9% Tuesday, up from 16.4% last week, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

The probability that rates will rise from the current 5.25-5.50% — derived from 30-day fed funds futures prices — rose after stronger-than-expected jobs opening numbers for August were reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

— Scott Schnipper

11 Hours Ago

Stock futures are little changed

Stock futures traded near flat Tuesday night.

Dow futures slipped just around 0.1% shortly after 6 p.m. ET, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures were both marginally below flat.

— Alex Harring



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